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It’s Going To Be A Bumpy Ride

In the face of membership declining by an estimated 800,000 for 2008, the Dow Jones Newswires reported Tuesday that United Healthcare is cutting operating costs, capital spending and headcount to focus on a more regional structure.  The headcount cuts are expected to be as high as 4,000. These cuts are due to be largely focused on IT and clinical operations. But wait – isn’t that where UHC’s core competencies lie, in IT and clinical operations? It certainly doesn’t lie with customer service and innovative provider partnerships.

For physicians, this could be good news, but only if it leads to more efficient processes as well. Less resources to manage high cost administrative tasks like referrals and preauthorizations could mean that United will soon modify those practices, thus alleviating some administrative burden (and cost) from providers. However, if its management history is anything to go by, that’s not likely to happen soon. This is further supported by decisions being made today – cut staff and you lose talent, at precisely a time when UHC needs to compete on service and market presence. It would appear that Wall St comes before all else, and this kind of blinkered thinking may very well be how UHC got to this point in the first place.

While the article goes on to report that the CEO, Stephen Hemsley,  says ‘increased benefit buydowns and continued trends of customers migrating to lower-priced plans’ is to blame for the lack of members, he says nothing about its own role in creating an environment where declining membership HAS to be the natural outcome – pricing products beyond the reach of many means fewer people can afford them. Price hikes can only go so high before people begin to forego the product.  Conversely, with fewer members, there are less premium dollars to go ’round, which in turn is bound to affect its Medical Cost Ratios. Unfortunately, this will simply look like medical costs trending ever higher, which isn’t necessarily the case, further bolstering increases to premiums. Except it would appear that the market has finally reached its limit on price. Amen.

Therefore, despite Wellpoint CEO Angela Braly’s assertions that they ‘will not sacrifice profitability for membership’ it looks like United is on the brink of having to do exactly that. I, for one, am looking forward to seeing premium prices come down. 

But the bigger question remains, will United be smart enough to stop dancing to the tune of Wall St and really hunker down and do the work it should have been doing all along, namely, managing the numbers by being an innovative, efficient company rather than just being a profiteer at the expense of employers and providers.  Slashing talent won’t make them a better company, it will only help them meet the next round of numbers. And so the cycle continues . . .

Once the lift from United’s slash-and-burn deflates, you can be sure it will turn to physician reimbursement next unless it figures out in the meantime that the way to ensure sustained profitability – albeit lower than its record-breaking history – is to partner with its stakeholders and get the unnecessary (administrative) costs out of the equation first.

The first glimmer of hope that UHC may be coming to its senses and looking at managing the company rather than the numbers is the fact that its new strategy is focused on ‘balancing the company more in favor of a regional business model’. After years of heavy-handed tactics with newly acquired regional companies to comply with UHC’s one-size-fits-all national uber-structure, this is a big departure from business-as-usual.

Regardless of how it all turns out, hold on to your hats. It’s going to be a bumpy ride.

Never-Events Follow Up

Last January I posted a piece on ‘Never Events’ . In it, I reflected on punitive action versus supportive action. I am therefore very pleased to read in today’s AIS Health Business Daily that the Blues Plans have stepped up to do just that – support better outcomes – by helping hospitals reduce hospital-acquired infections (HAIs) through the use of electronic tools and incentive programs. The plans include Horizon Blue Cross Blue Shield of New Jersey, Blue Shield of California and Excellus Blue Cross and Blue Shield of New York.

The primary tool used is something called the MedMined electronic infection-monitoring system, and is being offered through Cardinal Health, Inc. (a medical and surgical supplies company). That system supplies an electronic tool that monitors all patients in the hospital for infections as well as an on-site trained infection-control specialist. The tool also is tied to the hospital’s financial system, “so you can see how much a patient without an infection costs, compared to what a patient with an infection costs [for the same procedure],” explains Cardinal Health spokesperson Troy Kirkpatrick.

In addition to Cardinal offering grants to hospitals for adopting patient safety products, the Blues health plans will share the costs of the system for the first few years. According to the AIS story, a health plan could cover 60% of system costs in the first year and 40% in the second year, with the hospital paying for the remaining expenses. By the third year, the hospital would pay all system costs, with savings from reducing hospital acqured infections (HAIs) offsetting that expense.

Apparently, the MedMined tools helped reduce overall HAIs by 3.2% at pilot hospitals in 2007, according to an issue brief from the Blue Shield of California Foundation. That organization has already spent $5 million on the initiative and is working with California’s Healthcare-Associated Infection Prevention Initiative (CHAIPI) to reduce HAIs through MedMined and also through a “learning collaborative” effort among participating hospitals. “Among CHAIPI hospitals, reductions in HAIs resulted in 4,641 fewer hospital days and $2,163,437 in bottom-line savings.…In all, the initial investment in CHAIPI has generated a minimum five-fold return in costs avoided, for a total of more than $9 million” over a period of 18 months, according to the foundation.

This is a very positive development and illustrates how collaborative efforts, rather than puntive ones, can not only help advance medicine and safety but systematically decrease costs for everyone.

Kudos to the Blues for leading the way on this and for taking a stake in securing better outcomes.

The Debate Over Concierge Care

In the last week, the Houston Chronicle and the Washington Post have both issued stories on the topic of concierge care from the perspective of patients and managed care companies. Meanwhile my esteemed colleague, Chip Hart, has been busy making the case by analyzing numbers specific to pediatrics.

By now, most of you know that primary care practices are the hardest hit in terms of reimbursement for services rendered and vaccines administrated. In order to alleviate the sheer volume of work faced by these practices in order to keep revenues up, some are beginning to offer their patients the option to pay a fee in order to receive less compressed care and better personal service. So what is all the fuss about?

In the case of insurers, some don’t want physicians to charge these fees to their members citing contract provisions excluding them from doing so, while others do not have a problem with it. However, many are concerned that about access to care issues, because by offering concierge care physicians naturally have to restrict the number of patients they are willing to see in order to make the time available to satisfy that offering.

Today we are beginning to see to the effects of lower reimbursement on the number of physicians entering primary care specialties, and realize that shortages are becoming a big problem. By setting up such offerings, this will restrict access to physicians even further, or so the argument goes.

But is that really the case? It might be, were it not for minute-clinics and other competitors moving in to the marketplace to help compensate for the volume spilling over from established practices. The reality is, many physician practices do not want to be clinics or mills. These doctors want to provide the best care they can, but current managed care policies do not allow for that.

So let the minute-clinics be the mills for strep tests and ear infections, if that’s what some consumers want. But let the physicians limit the number of patients that walk through their doors in order to regain some quality of care and put the sanity back into practicing medicine. In doing so, it might just help redress the imbalance that insurers have so successfully created.

For more information about concierge care, check out MDVIP.

Tipping Point for Insurers?

Has the tipping point regarding profitability versus viability finally come? Fed up with escalating premiums, employer groups appear to be aggressively shopping around, and in many cases dropping coverage for their employees altogether.

Today the New York Times reported that shares of WellPoint plummeted more than 16 percent in after-hours trading Monday after the company lowered its profit forecast, citing higher medical costs and lower-than-expected insurance enrollments. Humana and Aetna shares dropped 10% and United dropped 9% following this outcome. 

With the shift by employer groups to self-funded plans (meaning insurers simply pass along the costs of employee health costs with an administrative fee to the employer) and with more individuals becoming responsible for finding and funding insurance coverage for themselves, enrollment is not what it used to be in the large insurer market.

According to Sheryl Skolnick, a health care analyst with CRT Capital in Stamford, Conn., and quoted in the NYT article, with regard to insurance premiums, “prices are higher than people feel they are able to afford,” especially for individuals who buy their own insurance because they do not have coverage from an employer.

So, have insurers premiums finally reached the tipping point where their prices are too high to be sustainable? I believe so. And until these companies start offering products such as catastrophic insurance (without requiring a separate managed care plan) and lower priced, appropriately managed, affordable plans I don’t think this will turn around any day soon.

The good news? Perhaps this will reduce the trend of physician reimbursement gouging that has been sustaining profits and begin to put the emphasis on insurers’ operational efficiency to drive excess dollars in the future. And no, that doesn’t mean insurers should further cut their customer service staff and cut back on the resources necessary to manage all of the myriad and convuluted processes that these companies have built up over time. Rather, a focus on lean and efficient simplified processing, less complexity in medical and administrative policy making, and more accountability that leads to partnering with the other stakeholders in health care might be the way forward for these behemoths.  Or, they can simply lumber along and wait for the market to finally, finally!, correct for the abuses of the past.

When Profit equals Improved Service (shouldn’t it be the other way ’round?)

The Wall Street Journal reports “UnitedHealth reported a 3.5% rise in quarterly net income, as the health-insurance giant benefited from strong growth in its prescription-solutions unit”.

From what we have seen through our tracking of policies, ‘prescription-solutions’ means drug pre-authorizations, tiering and other administrative hurdles that have been added to the cost of running practices. Physicians carry the administrative cost, UHC profits. Nice, right?

If you read the article, you’ll note that there is much talk about United’s improved service, yet the member numbers don’t hold up. Maybe you’ll be as confused as I am when you read Mr. Helmsley’s comment “Our service levels have recovered strongly”, followed by ‘UnitedHealth continues to expect a 2%, or about 550,000-member, decline in commercial enrollment in the first quarter’ and ‘the outlook for the decline in risk-based commercial members is now closer to 400,000 than to 350,000, Mr. Hemsley said.

Furthermore, the article goes on to state ‘In the fourth quarter, UnitedHealth saw a 75,000-member decline sequentially in commercial risk-based membership and a 480,000-member decline year over year. Total commercial enrollment was flat sequentially at nearly 25.53 million and down 175,000 year over year, as fee-based commercial membership increased’.

Let’s see: decline in enrollement + increased profits = improved service. Yep, that makes perfect sense alright.  

I don’t see a quantification of HOW service levels have improved, other than discussion of PROFIT as an indicator. But as anyone who has studied statistics will know, correlation does not equal causation.

Looks to me like UHC are equating improved dollars to improved service, regardless of declining enrollment. How can that be? Wouldn’t it be the other way ’round, that improved service would mean an increase in enrollment? Perhaps service is the least of what is feeding the bottom line numbers. In addtion to the stated ‘prescription-solutions’, SEC filings suggest that acquisitions, policy change initiatives and lack of claims payments are all helping to boost the bottom line. That has nothing to do with improvements.

So what I want to know is, when is a journalist going ask “What have you actually done to improve SERVICE?”

Never-Events

Private health insurers have jumped on the band wagon when it comes to not paying for preventable injury or illness occuring through hospital errors. Medicare instituted non-payment of errors last October.

Aetna, Wellpoint, and some other large insurers are starting with a shorter list than Medicare’s so-called ‘never-event’ list. Primarily focused on the most egregious errors such as bed sores, falls and hospital infections, the list could expand quickly as these initiatives are implemented.

The idea is that insurers will no longer pay for mistakes, and hospitals cannot bill patients directly for the cost of care associated with fixing these problems, in an attempt to improve patient safety. But is that going to be the outcome? What about the patient who, say, has a sponge left inside after an operation? Will a procedure be performed gratis to remove it, or will it simply be left there instead?

If insurers are truly seeking to improve safety and lower the overall costs of care, it strikes me that responding punitively is not the right answer. Rather, why not help support safety by paying for screenings that help identify MRSA in patients coming in to the hospital, and reward those hospitals that have significantly fewer errors over time.

Indeed, every effort should be made to prevent errors in the first place, so shouldn’t the focus be on paying for preventive measures rather than on not paying for fixes when they occur?

Otherwise, this will just become another reason for insurers to not pay for needed care which will cycle through the system adding more expense elswhere. Meanwhile patient welfare may be compromised when things go wrong, which can only exacerbate the problem going forward.

Insurer as catalyst for productive change?

I am beginning to think change might be afoot in the ivory towers of insurers.

With Aetna’s chief running around talking about reform, and United Healthcare committing to improve service, it would seem so. Now Carefirst, one of the few remaining not-for-profit Blues plans, has a new CEO with some strange ideas.

Strange for a CEO of an insurance company that is. Chester ‘Chet’ Burrell took the reigns December 1 and since then has been meeting with the likes of hospital executives and others that formerly have had ‘contentious relations’ with Carefirst in the past. Why? To reassert its role as a ‘policy entity with nonprofit values’. Can such a thing still exist? If we are to believe Mr. Burrell, then apparently it does.

“Yes, it’s an insurance company, but it has a community mission,” Burrell said in a recent interview. “We want to be catalytic for productive changes in the health system.” While much of what he is proposing is modest, such as increasing electronic claim submission adoption to lower costs, some of his other ideas are quite radical including potentially offering grants to help physicians adopt EMRs more affordably.

Burrell also said he is looking to hospitals and affiliated networks of doctors to coordinate care, especially for the most expensive patients, who often have multiple chronic conditions and visit a variety of specialists.

Could it be that physicians will once again be allowed to practice medicine instead of pulling double-duty as clinicians and administrative gate-keepers?

I’ll be keeping my eye on Chet, and all the rest of them.
 

Lack of insurance coverage penalties

The penalty for not buying health insurance in Massachusetts could soon quadruple to $912 a year, the Boston Globe reports.The state is considering increasing the maximum penalty for not buying insurance to persuade those who can afford it, but still haven’t bought coverage, to comply. 

What I can’t figure out is what they will do with the fine money. Why not use it to purchase health insurance? If you can force a person to pay a fine, why not convert it to pay the premium and solve the problem going forward?

Losses are not local

I am so sad to write that Benazir Bhutto has been killed. It is not just Pakistan’s loss – and for all that means, it is tremendous – but also the world’s loss. A courageous, outspoken, fearless yet reasonable, diplomatic and engaged human being was just wiped from the map.

Do I agree with her politics? I don’t know, it isn’t my country, so what can I say about politics local there? But, I can identify with the rhetoric, the passion, and the bravery that necessitated her extraordinary return to Pakistan, and her desire to press for January 8th elections at all costs.

For my colleagues and friends that live in Lahore, I wish for peaceful streets and no violence in that (or any Pakistani) city.

Meanwhile, I’ll be hoping for peace and democracy to prevail over terror – not in a platitudinal way; my people are from Belfast; but in a way that all sides can come to value the merit of diplomacy and dialogue, as such recent foes as McGuinness and Paisley can do now.

RIP, Benazir Bhutto. Many may think this isn’t the right forum, but to me, if you don’t stand for something, you stand for nothing. And nothing means you have no standing. . .

What’s Wrong With This Picture?

I subscribe to lots of newsletters and various forums for information. Today I received an email from HealthDecisions.org with the following three headlines, and I have to admit I’m confused.

1. Insurers Seek Bigger Reach In Coverage  – New York Times, 12/19/2007

2. New AHIP Survey Finds Individual Health Care Coverage Accessible and Affordable – AHIP, 12/19,/2007

3. AHIP Releases Individual Market Guarantee Access Proposal – AHIP, 12/19/2007

The first story acknowledges that too many people simply cannot obtain health insurance on their own, and that the insurance industry plans on Wednesday to propose a series of steps the companies say would let more individuals, even those who have health problems, obtain coverage. Meanwhile, America’s Health Insurance Plans (AHIP) released a ‘comprehensive survey’ of the individual health insurance market stating that health care coverage is more accessible and affordable ‘than is widely known’.  The survey found that ‘premiums are affordable, most who applied were offered coverage, and that consumers have access to a wide variety of benefit options to meet their individual needs.  In addition, health savings accounts (HSAs) continue to be a popular coverage option among consumers’. But what does that mean? That because some people can afford the premiums, and were granted coverage, that these plans somehow qualify as ‘affordabe’ for all?

At the same, AHIP released an article acknowledging that the individual health market needs serious reform before it can ‘address the unique challenges’ facing the individual health insurance market.  “We believe that plans and the states, working together, can guarantee access to affordable insurance for everyone in the individual market,” said Jay Gellert, President and CEO of Health Net, Inc. and Co-Chairman of the Individual Market Task Force.

So which is it? That individuals can afford individual plans but just don’t know it? Or that it’s possible to obtain cost-effective individual coverage, but just not quite yet? But the more interesting aspect of all this is the Individual Market Task Force itself. Who’s on the Force? A group of insurance company executives, of course.  Now don’t you think there is something fundamentally wrong with that picture?